Revival Stories: Quarterbacks Rediscovering Their NFL Mojo
The NFL has always been a league of second chances, and nowhere is this more evident than in the stories of quarterbacks like Geno Smith, Baker Mayfield, and Sam Darnold. These players have defied expectations by revitalizing their careers, offering hope to teams searching for stability at the most crucial position in football. This resurgence raises questions about whether other quarterbacks, such as Justin Fields and Daniel Jones, can follow in their footsteps. Moreover, the journey of Mac Jones, now a backup in San Francisco, draws parallels to Darnold’s past, sparking curiosity about his future trajectory.
New Contracts and High Hopes
The 2025 offseason has seen several quarterbacks sign new deals, each carrying their own set of expectations. Smith, after a remarkable stint with the Seattle Seahawks, is now with the Las Vegas Raiders, seeking a new contract. Darnold, Fields, and both Joneses (Daniel and Mac) have also inked new contracts, each aiming to carve out their own revival stories. The financial commitments made by their new teams reflect a mix of belief in their potential and the acknowledgment of the risks involved. These signings are not just about immediate impact but also about the long-term vision each franchise holds for their quarterback.
The Tier System: Understanding QB Potential
To gauge the potential of these quarterbacks, it’s essential to delve into the NFL’s quarterback tier system. This system, based on evaluations from coaches and executives over the past decade, categorizes quarterbacks into five tiers, from the elite (Tier 1) to those who are not starter material (Tier 5). Historically, it’s rare for quarterbacks to climb significantly from lower tiers to higher ones, making the journeys of Smith and Tua Tagovailoa all the more remarkable. They are outliers who have transitioned from Tier 4 or 5 to Tier 1-3 and sustained that growth. Mayfield, though not in the same category, has shown a resilience that hints at a possible resurgence.
Ascenders: Darnold and Jones Leading the Charge
Sam Darnold and Daniel Jones are pegged as the most likely to ascend in their new roles. Darnold’s 2024 season with the Vikings was a revelation, showcasing the physical talent and intangibles that made him a top draft pick in 2018. His return to a Kyle Shanahan-inspired system in Seattle, with familiarity from his time with the 49ers, positions him well to build on last season’s successes. Despite potential statistical dips due to a more conservative offense, Darnold’s trajectory suggests he could solidify his place in Tier 3.
Daniel Jones, now with the Indianapolis Colts, represents a intriguing case. While his ceiling may not be as high as Darnold’s, Jones has shown the ability to thrive in specific systems, particularly those that leverage his mobility. His best season with the Giants was under a similar framework, and the Colts’ setup, combined with reduced external pressures, could unlock a freer version of Jones. The presence of Anthony Richardson, a dynamic quarterback prospect, adds a layer of competition, but Jones’s experience gives him an edge that could translate to consistent Tier 3 performance.
Steady Hands: Geno Smith Holding His Ground
Geno Smith stands out as a quarterback likely to maintain his current trajectory. Over the past two seasons, Smith has established himself as a reliable Tier 3 quarterback, avoiding the drastic fluctuations that once defined his career. His move to the Raiders introduces new variables, such as adapting to a different system and the challenges of playing at 35. However, Smith’s recent performance suggests he’s reached a stable plateau, making a significant ascent less likely but a consistent contribution almost certain.
High Risk, High Reward: Justin Fields and the Jets
Justin Fields embodies the greatest boom-bust potential among the quarterbacks on new teams. The New York Jets’ decision to invest in Fields, despite his inconsistent past, is a gamble that could pay off handsomely or backfire spectacularly. Fields’ athletic prowess and dual-threat capabilities are undeniable, but his fit within the Jets’ new coaching regime remains a question mark. The shift from a conservative offensive approach to one that could maximize Fields’ strengths is a significant philosophical change for the franchise. The challenge lies in harnessing his abilities within a system that may not be naturally aligned with his skill set, especially under a first-time offensive coordinator. The Jets are betting on youth and upside, hoping Fields can overcome past struggles and emerge as a consistent starter.
Wild Card: Mac Jones in San Francisco
Mac Jones, now a backup to Brock Purdy in San Francisco, finds himself in a situation reminiscent of Darnold’s past. His tenure as a starter in New England and Jacksonville was marked by highs and lows, but joining the 49ers under Kyle Shanahan offers a fresh start. While Jones may lack the physical tools of his predecessors in the Shanahan system, such as Jimmy Garoppolo, his quick decision-making and accuracy could still find success. Should Purdyface injury setbacks, Jones has an opportunity to prove his doubters wrong and reignite his career trajectory. His time in San Francisco could be the catalyst for a new chapter, one where he emerges from the shadows as a capable starter once more.
Conclusion: The Ever-Churning QB Landscape
The NFL quarterback landscape is ever-changing, with each season bringing new stories of redemption and rebirth. For Darnold, Jones, Smith, Fields, and Mac Jones, the 2025 season represents a pivotal chapter in their careers. Whether they ascend to new heights, maintain their current levels, or face unexpected challenges, their journeys underscore the unpredictability and resilience that define the quarterback position. As teams continue to seek stability at the game’s most critical role, these quarterbacks offer a blend of hope, intrigue, and potential that will captivate fans and shape the future of their franchises.
