Trump has begun another trade war. Here’s a timeline of how we got here

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The Escalation of U.S. Trade Wars Under President Trump

The United States is once again embroiled in a heated trade war, with President Donald Trump ramping up tariffs on imports from its three largest trading partners—Mexico, Canada, and China. Since taking office in January 2025, Trump has reintroduced sweeping import taxes, reigniting tensions that had somewhat eased during President Joe Biden’s term. The move has sent shockwaves through the global economy, leaving businesses and consumers bracing for the fallout. Economists warn that this round of tariffs could have far-reaching consequences, potentially leading to higher prices, reduced investment, and slower economic growth worldwide.

A Timeline of Escalating Tensions

The roots of the current trade war can be traced back to Trump’s first term, when he launched a series of tariffs targeting China, Mexico, and Canada. During that time, the U.S. and China engaged in a prolonged trade dispute, with both countries imposing retaliatory levies on hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of goods. Trump also slapped tariffs on imported solar panels, washing machines, steel, and aluminum, citing national security concerns. These actions strained relationships with key allies and sparked widespread economic uncertainty.

When President Joe Biden took office, he maintained many of Trump’s tariffs on China but adopted a more targeted approach, focusing on semiconductors and high-tech exports. However, the 2024 presidential campaign saw both Biden and Trump vowing to take a tough stance on China. Trump, in particular, promised drastic measures, including tariffs of at least 60% on all Chinese imports and up to 20% on goods from other countries. Critics, including Vice President Kamala Harris, argued that such broad tariffs would act as a "national sales tax," burdening American families with higher costs.

The 2025 Tariff Rollout and Retaliation

Following his victory in the 2024 election, Trump wasted no time in delivering on his campaign promises. On his first day in office, he announced plans to impose 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, effective February 1, 2025. He also introduced a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports, which went into effect on February 4. These moves were met with swift retaliation from all three countries.

China responded by imposing tariffs on key U.S. agricultural products, including soybeans, pork, and beef, while also launching anti-monopoly investigations into American companies like Google. Mexico and Canada, meanwhile, announced their own retaliatory measures, with Canada targeting over $100 billion in U.S. goods and Mexico vowing to impose tariffs on unspecified American products. The escalating trade war has left financial markets volatile, with investors increasingly concerned about its impact on the global economy.

The Human Cost of Trade Wars

The tariffs have not only strained international relations but also created significant challenges for American businesses and consumers. Companies reliant on imported goods are facing higher costs, which are likely to be passed on to consumers. Farmers, in particular, have been hit hard, as China’s retaliatory tariffs on U.S. agricultural exports have devastated the sector. The uncertainty surrounding the trade war has also led to delayed hiring and investment decisions, as businesses struggle to navigate the unpredictable landscape.

A Path Forward?

Despite the growing tensions, there are signs that the situation may be easing in some areas. In March 2025, Trump granted a one-month exemption on tariffs for goods from Mexico and Canada, citing progress on border security and drug trafficking. This move was seen as a gesture of goodwill, particularly toward Mexico, where President Claudia Sheinbaum had made efforts to address Trump’s concerns. However, the broader trade war shows no signs of abating, with Trump continuing to threaten additional tariffs on countries like India and European nations.

As the trade war drags on, the stakes remain high. While Trump’s administration argues that the tariffs are necessary to protect American industries and national security, critics warn that the long-term consequences could be severe. For now, businesses and consumers are left to navigate the uncertainty, hoping for a resolution that avoids further economic pain.

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