Volcano near Anchorage, Alaska, could erupt in coming weeks, scientists say

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Mount Spurr Volcano Shows Increased Signs of Unrest

A volcano located near Alaska’s largest city, Anchorage, is exhibiting heightened signs of unrest, raising concerns about a potential eruption in the coming weeks or months. Mount Spurr, a dormant volcano, has been closely monitored by the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO), which recently detected "significantly elevated volcanic gas emissions" during overflights. While an eruption is not certain, experts warn that the likelihood has increased, and further increases in seismic activity, gas emissions, and surface heating are expected if an eruption is imminent. However, the observatory emphasized that an eruption could still occur with little to no warning, posing significant risks to nearby residents and travelers.

Background on Mount Spurr

Mount Spurr is one of Alaska’s 53 active volcanoes that have erupted within the last 250 years. Standing at 11,070 feet (3,374 meters) tall, the volcano is covered in ice and snow and is located approximately 80 miles (129 kilometers) northwest of Anchorage. It features two main vents: the summit vent and the Crater Peak vent. The summit vent last erupted more than 5,000 years ago, while the Crater Peak vent has been more active, with eruptions recorded in 1953 and three times in 1992. Since its last eruption, Mount Spurr has experienced periods of increased seismic activity, including between 2004 and 2006, but no major eruptions have occurred.

Recent Activity and Warning Signs

In October 2024, the Alaska Volcano Observatory raised the alert status of Mount Spurr from green to yellow due to a noticeable increase in seismic activity and ground deformation detected via satellite data. This change in status indicates that the volcano is experiencing increased unrest, which could lead to an eruption. While the observatory expects additional warning signs, such as heightened seismicity and gas emissions, before an eruption occurs, it also cautioned that an eruption could happen unexpectedly. This unpredictability underscores the need for continued monitoring and public awareness.

Potential Impacts of an Eruption

If Mount Spurr were to erupt, the effects could be widespread and disruptive. Past eruptions, such as those in 1953 and 1992, produced ash columns reaching over 50,000 feet (15,240 meters) and deposited ashfall in south-central Alaska communities. In 1992, Anchorage experienced ashfall of about a quarter-inch, prompting residents to stay indoors or wear masks to avoid inhaling the sharp, abrasive ash particles. Volcanic ash can also pose a significant threat to aircraft engines, as it can cause them to shut down. The 1992 eruptions led to the temporary closure of airports in Anchorage and other nearby communities, highlighting the potential disruption to air travel and daily life.

Risks and Uncertainty

The most likely scenario for Mount Spurr’s current unrest is an eruption similar to those in 1953 and 1992, according to the Alaska Volcano Observatory. However, it is also possible that the volcano’s activity could subside without an eruption, or that a smaller-scale eruption might occur. John Power, a geophysicist with the U.S. Geological Survey, noted that while the current signs are concerning, the situation remains uncertain. The unpredictability of volcanic activity underscores the importance of preparedness and ongoing scientific monitoring.

Conclusion

As Mount Spurr continues to show signs of heightened unrest, residents and travelers in the region are advised to remain vigilant and stay informed about updates from the Alaska Volcano Observatory. While the likelihood of an eruption has increased, it is not guaranteed, and the situation could evolve in multiple ways. The potential impacts of an eruption, particularly on air travel and daily life, highlight the need for preparedness and awareness. By staying informed and following guidance from local authorities, individuals can better navigate the risks associated with Mount Spurr’s activity.

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