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France’s champagne industry in the crosshairs of the US-EU trade war

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The Looming Tariff Threat on the Champagne Industry: A Perfect Storm for French Champagne

The threat of a 200% tariff on European alcohol, including French champagne, has sent shockwaves through the industry, particularly in France. President Donald Trump’s recent announcement to impose such steep tariffs if the EU’s 50% tariffs on bourbon are not lifted has sparked widespread panic among champagne producers, distributors, and retailers. The U.S. is France’s largest export market for champagne, with 25 million bottles shipped across the Atlantic in the last year alone. France exported €3.8 billion worth of wines and spirits to the U.S. in 2024, accounting for a quarter of its total exports. This dependency on the U.S. market, coupled with the already struggling champagne industry, has left many in the sector bracing for the worst.

The Struggles of the Champagne Industry: A Perfect Storm of Challenges

The champagne industry has been facing a perfect storm of challenges in recent years. Champagne sales have been declining for over two years, as inflation-weary consumers in France and abroad cut back on luxury purchases due to rising prices. Last year, champagne exports dropped by nearly 10%, while domestic demand in France fell by 8%. The industry’s struggles are further compounded by climate change, which has caused extreme weather events such as heatwaves and early frosts in the Champagne region. These conditions have resulted in smaller harvests, driving up production costs and further pushing up the price of champagne.

For many small-scale producers and retailers, the situation is particularly dire. Agnès Baracco, the owner of a wine shop in northeastern Paris, has noticed a significant decline in champagne sales over the past two years. “I sell champagne, but over the last two years, prices have gone up a lot, and customers are turning their backs,” she explained. Baracco pointed out that the price of her cheapest champagne has risen from €20 when she first opened her shop 15 years ago to €27 today. Despite her efforts to keep prices competitive by trimming her profit margins, customers are increasingly turning to more affordable alternatives.

The Rise of Affordable Alternatives: A Growing Threat to Champagne

One of the most significant challenges facing the champagne industry is the growing popularity of more affordable sparkling wines. Alternatives such as Italian prosecco, Spanish cava, and French crémant have gained traction in both domestic and international markets. Baracco, for instance, has seen her sales of sparkling Vouvray wine, which she sells for approximately €10, surge in recent years. “It’s my bestseller. And coincidentally, it’s not expensive,” she said. These alternatives are not only cheaper but are also perceived as offering excellent quality and value for money, making them increasingly attractive to cost-conscious consumers.

The rise of these alternatives has forced the champagne industry to confront the reality that its long-held monopoly on the luxury sparkling wine market is over. For decades, champagne has been synonymous with luxury and celebration, but the increasing competition from other regions has changed the landscape. Jean-Marie Cardenat, an economist and expert in the wine industry, believes that this shift is a much-needed wake-up call for the champagne sector. “Perhaps we need to accept the fact that champagne, which has enjoyed a form of monopoly for several decades, is no longer in that situation,” he said.

A Call for Change: The Need for Renewed Marketing and Strategies

The challenges facing the champagne industry have underscored the need for a renewed marketing approach and strategic overhaul. Cardenat emphasized that the industry must adapt to the changing market dynamics, both in France and internationally. “I think the way forward for the sector undoubtedly lies in a slightly renewed marketing approach,” he said. This could involve repositioning champagne as a premium product, highlighting its unique terroir, and emphasizing the craftsmanship and tradition behind its production. At the same time, the industry must find ways to make champagne more accessible and affordable to a broader audience without compromising on quality.

However, for now, the outlook remains uncertain. Both the EU and France have shown no signs of backing down in the ongoing trade spat with the U.S. The French Federation of Wine and Spirits exporters has expressed frustration over being repeatedly caught in the crossfire of trade disputes. Meanwhile, French Trade Minister Laurent Saint-Martin has vowed to “fight back” and protect French industries. “We will not give in to threats and will always protect our industries,” he declared. As the trade tensions escalate, the champagne industry finds itself at the center of a perfect storm, facing challenges from both within and outside its borders. Whether it can navigate this storm and emerge stronger remains to be seen.

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