Europe Races to Craft a Trump-Era Plan for Ukraine and Defense

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A New Era of Challenges for European Leaders

The Shifting Global Landscape and Europe’s Response

European leaders are facing a dramatically altered geopolitical landscape, marked by diminishing cooperation from the U.S., rising threats from Russia, and an increasingly uncertain future for Ukraine. As they prepare for an emergency summit in Brussels, the stakes are high. The meeting, set to include all 27 EU member states, is the latest in a series of hastily convened summits focused on defense and security. The primary goal is to determine how to bolster Europe’s military capabilities, support Ukraine, and navigate the fragile relationship with Washington, all while avoiding further alienation of their tempestuous ally across the Atlantic.

This gathering marks the beginning of a new chapter for the European Union, an institution originally founded on the principles of peace and cooperation. Now, the bloc is being forced to confront a world increasingly defined by conflict and tension, even among its closest allies. The question on everyone’s mind is whether the EU, with its consensus-driven and often cumbersome decision-making process, can adapt quickly enough to ensure Europe is not left behind as the global order shifts rapidly. As Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, a senior fellow at the Brussels-based think tank Bruegel, puts it, “There’s clearly a sense that, in a time like this, Europe needs to prepare for the worst.”

The Impact of the Trump Administration on European Security

In less than two months, President Donald Trump has dramatically reshaped the security landscape in Europe. He has demanded a swift resolution to the conflict in Ukraine, pushing President Volodymyr Zelensky toward negotiations by publicly criticizing him and halting U.S. aid to the embattled nation. At the same time, Trump has initiated talks with Russia without directly involving European leaders or Ukraine, further isolating the continent. These actions, combined with a disastrous meeting between Trump and Zelensky last week, have forced European leaders into a state of heightened urgency.

In response, Zelensky has proposed a potential path to ending the war, following days of diplomatic pressure from French and British leaders. While Trump appeared receptive to the proposal, the path forward remains unclear. The United Kingdom and France have signaled their willingness to contribute troops to a peacekeeping force if a deal is reached, but the scope and composition of such a coalition remain uncertain. As British Prime Minister Keir Starmer noted, it would likely involve a “coalition of the willing,” but questions linger about which nations might join.

Europe’s Struggle for Unity and a Common Voice

Despite these efforts, the EU continues to grapple with internal divisions. The bloc has struggled to present a united front on Ukraine, particularly as Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has openly supported Trump’s stance and clashed with his European colleagues. While EU officials have discussed additional aid for Ukraine, plans for a new financial package are unlikely to be finalized at the summit.

However, there are signs of cooperation. Several non-EU countries, including the U.K., Norway, and Turkey, are expected to receive briefings from EU officials after the meeting. Ukrainian President Zelensky has also been invited to attend, signaling Europe’s commitment to keeping him in the loop. These gestures suggest a growing recognition of the need for collective action, even as the bloc navigates its internal differences.

A New Plan to Strengthen Europe’s Defenses

European leaders are also expected to discuss a bold new proposal to “re-arm” Europe, unveiled this week by Ursula von der Leyen, the head of the EU’s executive branch. The plan includes a 150 billion euro loan program for defense investments and more flexible budget rules to allow member states to increase spending without breaching strict deficit limits. If implemented, the initiative could boost European security spending by as much as 800 billion euros, marking a significant shift in the bloc’s approach to defense.

In announcing the proposal, von der Leyen underscored the gravity of the moment, stating, “We are living in the most momentous and dangerous of times.” This sense of urgency reflects a broader recognition that Europe can no longer rely on the U.S. as it once did. Instead, the continent must take proactive steps to secure its own future.

The Road Ahead: Challenges and Opportunities

As European leaders convene in Brussels, they face a daunting task: navigating a complex web of security threats

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