Commentary: Myanmar’s junta may have struck a deal with Russia to boost its imagery intelligence – but why? 

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The High Priority of Intelligence in Myanmar’s Military Operations

Myanmar has consistently prioritized the collection and analysis of intelligence to support its military operations, even when faced with limited foreign exchange resources. The country’s strategic focus on gathering critical information has been a cornerstone of its defense strategy, ensuring that its armed forces remain informed and prepared for potential threats. This emphasis on intelligence has allowed Myanmar to navigate the complexities of regional and internal conflicts effectively, leveraging scarce resources to maximize the impact of its military operations.

Expansion of Intelligence Capabilities Under the Quasi-Civilian Government

Following the transition to a quasi-civilian government in 2012, Myanmar experienced a significant expansion in its ability to collect and analyze imagery intelligence. This period marked a turning point, as the country gained access to a wider range of satellite imagery, both freely available and through commercial arrangements. These resources included high-resolution electro-optical photography and infrared images, which provided Myanmar’s military with enhanced capabilities to monitor its borders and internal movements. The increased availability of such imagery intelligence tools marked a new era of sophistication in Myanmar’s surveillance capabilities.

The Role of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) in Myanmar’s Surveillance

In addition to satellite imagery, Myanmar has invested heavily in unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to strengthen its intelligence-gathering capabilities. It is believed that the armed forces operate approximately 11 Sky-02A surveillance drones, acquired from China. Furthermore, Myanmar reportedly developed 22 indigenously built drones, designated the Yellow Cat A2. These UAVs are equipped with digital color and infrared video cameras, enabling the military to conduct real-time surveillance over both domestic and foreign territories. The deployment of these drones has significantly enhanced Myanmar’s ability to monitor movements within its borders and beyond.

The Introduction of Combat Drones in Myanmar’s Arsenal

Between 2013 and 2015, Myanmar expanded its UAV capabilities further by purchasing a dozen CH-3A drones from China. While the CH-3A is not the most advanced combat drone in China’s arsenal, it is capable of conducting long-range surveillance missions and possesses useful imaging capabilities. This acquisition marked a significant step forward in Myanmar’s military modernization, enabling the armed forces to gather intelligence over vast areas and conduct operations with greater precision. The CH-3A drones have proven to be a valuable asset in Myanmar’s intelligence arsenal, providing critical support to military operations.

The Use of Drones in Monitoring Refugee Movements and Protests

The deployment of drones by Myanmar’s military has been documented in several high-profile incidents. In 2017, the Bangladesh government accused Myanmar of using drones to monitor the movements of Rohingya refugees and suspected operatives of the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army along its border. This incident highlighted the willingness of Myanmar’s military to employ advanced surveillance technology to gather intelligence on sensitive and controversial issues. Following the 2021 coup, CH-3 surveillance drones were reportedly used to monitor street protests by the civil disobedience movement, underscoring the ongoing role of UAVs in domestic surveillance and crowd control.

The Broader Implications of Myanmar’s Intelligence Capabilities

Myanmar’s investment in advanced surveillance technology, including satellite imagery and UAVs, has significantly bolstered its intelligence capabilities. These tools have enabled the military to gather critical information on both domestic and foreign targets, supporting operations ranging from border security to internal policing. However, the use of such technology has also raised concerns about privacy, human rights, and the potential for misuse in suppressing dissent. As Myanmar continues to develop its intelligence capabilities, the global community will closely monitor how these tools are employed and the impact they have on regional stability and human rights.

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