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Kepler Capital Remains a Buy on Carrefour (0NPH)

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Overview of Carrefour and Recent Analyst Sentiment

Carrefour, a leading global retailer, has been under the spotlight recently due to its financial performance and analyst ratings. In a report released on February 27, Kepler Capital analyst Francois Digard maintained a Buy rating on Carrefour with a price target of €17.00. This comes as the company’s shares closed at €12.80 on the last trading day, indicating a potential upside based on the analyst’s expectations. The broader market sentiment, as indicated by the Street’s consensus rating, leans towards a Hold, with an average price target of €14.45, suggesting a 12.93% upside from the current price.

Earnings Release and Financial Performance

Carrefour’s latest earnings report, covering the quarter ending June 30, revealed a quarterly revenue of €41.4 billion and a net profit of €25 million. Comparing this to the previous year, the company saw a slight dip in revenue from €41.59 billion to €41.4 billion, while net profit decreased significantly from €867 million to €25 million. This substantial drop in profitability raises questions about the company’s cost management and operational efficiency. The decline in net profit could be attributed to various factors, including increased expenses, market competition, or external economic conditions.

Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: Kepler Capital and Citi

In addition to Kepler Capital’s Buy rating, Citi also maintained a Buy rating on Carrefour with a price target of €17.00 in a report released on the same day. This aligns with Kepler Capital’s outlook, suggesting that both firms see potential for growth in the company. The consensus among analysts is mixed, with a Hold rating prevailing in the market. However, the higher price targets from Kepler and Citi indicate that some analysts believe Carrefour has the potential to outperform expectations, possibly driven by strategic initiatives or market recovery.

Street Consensus and Market Expectations

The overall analyst consensus rating for Carrefour is a Hold, with an average price target of €14.45, representing a 12.93% upside from the current share price of €12.80. This suggests that while some analysts are cautiously optimistic, others are more reserved in their expectations. The Hold rating could be indicative of a wait-and-watch approach, as investors and analysts await further clarity on the company’s strategy to improve profitability and growth. The average price target of €14.45 suggests that there is still some bullish sentiment, but it is not as strong as the Buy ratings from Kepler and Citi.

Comparison of Financial Performance

Carrefour’s latest financial results show a mixed bag, with revenue remaining relatively stable but net profit taking a significant hit. The company’s quarterly revenue of €41.4 billion is slightly lower than the previous year’s €41.59 billion, indicating a challenging environment. The net profit, however, dropped drastically from €867 million to €25 million, raising concerns about the company’s profitability. This could be due to various factors such as increased competition, higher operating costs, or changes in consumer spending habits. Investors will be keenly watching the company’s next moves to see if it can reverse this trend and improve its profitability.

Investment Recommendation and Future Outlook

Given the mixed analyst sentiment, investors should carefully consider the potential risks and rewards before making a decision. The Buy ratings from Kepler Capital and Citi suggest that there is optimism about Carrefour’s future prospects, possibly driven by expected improvements in operational efficiency or market share gains. However, the Hold consensus rating indicates that there is also a level of caution in the market. The significant decline in net profit is a red flag, and investors will want to see tangible signs of improvement in upcoming earnings reports. Overall, Carrefour’s stock presents a compelling opportunity for those who believe in the company’s ability to turn around its profitability, but it also carries risks that need to be carefully evaluated.

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