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Ontario premier backs down on US electricity hikes, prompting Trump to halt doubling tariffs

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Trade Tensions Ease Between Ontario and the U.S.
In a significant development in the ongoing trade dispute between Canada and the United States, Ontario Premier Doug Ford announced on Tuesday that he would suspend the 25% surcharge on electricity exports to the U.S. This decision came after a phone call with U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, where both parties agreed to meet in Washington on Thursday to discuss a renewed United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). Ford emphasized the importance of maintaining open communication, stating, "They call you and they hand over an olive branch, the worst thing I could do as premier of Ontario is ignore him and hang up the phone on him."

U.S. Delays Tariff Increase on Canadian Steel and Aluminum
Following Ford’s announcement, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro revealed that President Donald Trump had decided to halt the planned doubling of tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, which were set to rise from 25% to 50%. While this move signals a temporary de-escalation of tensions, the federal government in the U.S. is still set to impose a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports starting Wednesday. Trump expressed appreciation for Ford’s decision to suspend the electricity surcharge, calling it a positive step toward resolving the trade conflict.

Trump’s Controversial Remarks on Canada
Despite the tentative truce, President Trump continued to stir controversy by revisiting his suggestion that Canada become the 51st U.S. state. This remark, which has long been a point of irritation for Canadians, was accompanied by Trump’s dismissal of the U.S.-Canada border as an "artificial line that looks like it was done with a ruler." These comments underscore the complex and often fraught nature of the relationship between the two nations.

Escalating Trade War and Economic Concerns
Earlier in the day, Trump had threatened to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, citing Ontario’s recent price increases on electricity sold to the U.S. as the reason. The U.S. president took to social media to condemn Canada’s actions, warning that the country would face severe financial consequences for using electricity "as a bargaining chip and threat." Trump’s tough stance has raised concerns about the impact of the trade war on both economies, with fears of a potential recession looming large.

Canada’s Response to U.S. Tariffs
Ontario Premier Doug Ford and incoming Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney have both made it clear that Canada will not back down without a fight. Ford described Trump’s actions as an "unprovoked" attack on Canada, stating that any resulting recession would be "self-made" by the U.S. president. Carney echoed these sentiments, pledging to maintain Canada’s retaliatory tariffs until the U.S. demonstrates respect for fair trade practices. Carney also highlighted the $30 billion worth of tariffs already imposed on U.S. goods, including orange juice, peanut butter, and motorcycles, among other items.

A Path Forward Through Negotiation
Despite the heated rhetoric, both sides appear willing to negotiate. Ford expressed his desire to sit down with U.S. officials to "stop the bleeding" and find a mutually beneficial solution. Similarly, Carney’s commitment to maintaining tariffs until the U.S. shows a credible commitment to free trade suggests that Canada is prepared to engage in constructive dialogue. As the situation continues to evolve, the upcoming meeting between Ford and Lutnick in Washington could prove pivotal in determining the future of U.S.-Canada trade relations.

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