2025 NCAA Tournament projections: Bracketology and March Madness predictions

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Mr. March Leads the Charge: Michigan State’s Hot Streak

Tom Izzo, affectionately known as "Mr. March," has once again proven why he’s one of the most revered coaches in college basketball. As the calendar flips to March, Izzo’s Michigan State Spartans are red-hot, riding a three-game winning streak against top-tier opponents like Illinois, Purdue, and Michigan. Their next challenge is a matchup against No. 16 Maryland on Wednesday at 6:30 p.m. ET in College Park. With their momentum building at the perfect time, the Spartans are positioning themselves as a formidable force heading into the NCAA Tournament. The question on everyone’s mind: Where will they land in the bracket? FOX Sports’ Mike DeCourcy, a veteran bracket forecaster, weighs in with his latest projections to shed some light.

The Race for the Top Seeds: Auburn, Alabama, Duke, and Florida

In DeCourcy’s latest NCAA Tournament projections, the top seeds remain unchanged, with Auburn, Alabama, Duke, and Florida holding firm on the 1-line. Duke, in particular, made a statement with a dominating 110-67 victory over Illinois at Madison Square Garden. The Blue Devils are now on a four-game winning streak and will look to extend it against Miami on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET. With their impressive performance, Duke is solidifying its case as one of the teams to beat in March Madness. Meanwhile, Auburn, Alabama, and Florida continue to prove their dominance, ensuring the top seeds remain highly competitive.

The No. 2 Seeds: Rising Contenders in Tennessee, Houston, Iowa State, and Michigan State

Just below the 1-seeds, the No. 2 seeds are loaded with talent and momentum. Tennessee, Houston, Iowa State, and Michigan State make up this group, with both Houston and Michigan State surging at the right time. Houston, under the leadership of Kelvin Sampson, has won seven consecutive games, including an impressive road victory over No. 10 Texas Tech. The Cougars’ recent performance has them looking like a serious contender. Michigan State, meanwhile, is heating up with its three-game winning streak, showcasing the kind of late-season push that has become a hallmark of Izzo’s teams.

The Bubble Watch: Who’s In, Who’s Out?

As the tournament field takes shape, the bubble teams are under intense scrutiny. According to DeCourcy, the last four teams to make the cut are Arkansas, San Diego State, Georgia, and VCU. These programs are breathing a sigh of relief, knowing they’ve done just enough to secure a spot. On the other hand, Ohio State, Texas, Indiana, and North Carolina find themselves on the outside looking in, representing DeCourcy’s first four teams out. Just beyond them are Xavier, SMU, Boise State, and UC Irvine, who narrowly miss the cut but remain in the conversation. The bubble is always a stressful place this time of year, and every game matters for these teams fighting for a spot.

Conference Representation: The SEC Leads the Pack

When it comes to conference representation in DeCourcy’s latest projections, the SEC stands tall with an impressive 13 teams making the cut. The Big Ten follows closely with nine teams, while the Big 12 contributes eight teams to the tournament. The ACC and Big East each have four teams in the mix, and the Mountain West rounds out the major conferences with three representatives. The West Coast and Atlantic 10 conferences each have two teams in the field. This diverse representation highlights the competitive balance across college basketball and sets the stage for what promises to be an exciting tournament.

Mike DeCourcy: The Bracket Expert You Can Trust

For nearly three decades, Mike DeCourcy has been a trusted voice in college basketball, bringing his expertise to FOX Sports and the Big Ten Network. His extensive experience and deep knowledge of the game make his bracket projections a must-read for fans and analysts alike. Whether he’s breaking down the latest matchups or appearing on game broadcasts, DeCourcy’s insights are invaluable. To stay ahead of the curve and get the inside scoop on all things college basketball, follow DeCourcy on Twitter (@tsnmike) and sign up for FOX Sports’ personalized newsletter to get great stories delivered straight to your inbox.

With March Madness just around the corner, the excitement is palpable. From the surging Spartans to the fierce competition on the bubble, this year’s tournament is shaping up to be one for the ages. Stay tuned for more updates, analysis, and bracket predictions as the college basketball world gears up for its biggest event of the year.

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