Opinion | James Carville: The Best Thing Democrats Can Do in This Moment

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The Republican Party: Effective Campaigners, Inept Governors

The Republican Party has consistently proven itself to be a formidable force in campaigning and winning elections, but its track record in governing is far from impressive. Despite their ability to rally voters with impassioned rhetoric and polarizing issues, Republicans often struggle to translate their campaign promises into effective governance. Even conservative commentator Tucker Carlson has acknowledged this glaring weakness. The consequences of this ineptitude have been starkly evident in recent Republican administrations.

During Donald Trump’s first term, for instance, the administration’s accomplishments were largely limited to tax cuts for the wealthy, 500 miles of border wall construction, and a mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic that allowed the virus to spiral out of control. The George W. Bush administration was marked by the disastrous invasion of Iraq and a failed attempt to privatize Social Security, which left the country vulnerable to the Great Recession. Even George H.W. Bush’s presidency ended after one term, largely due to economic struggles. These examples highlight a recurring theme: Republicans excel at winning power but fail to wield it effectively.

For Trump’s second term, instead of addressing the issues he campaigned on—public safety, immigration, and the economy—the administration has prioritized dismantling the federal government. This effort is being carried out by one of the most incompetent cabinets in modern history, featuring appointees like a health secretary who has already targeted federal vaccination efforts, a national intelligence director linked to an abusive cult, a former WWE executive leading the Department of Education, and a cable news personality as defense secretary. The result? Chaos, dysfunction, and a government that cannot effectively serve the American people.

A Strategic Retreat: Letting Republicans Fail on Their Own

Given the Republican Party’s penchant for self-destruction, Democrats are faced with a unique opportunity. Rather than engaging in constant opposition and resistance, which has historically proven ineffective, Democrats should adopt a bold new strategy: a strategic retreat. This approach, often referred to as a “tactical pause” in military terms, involves stepping back from the daily political battles and allowing Republicans to implode under the weight of their own incompetence.

The idea is simple: let the Republican Party’s internal divisions and poor governance take center stage. As they struggle to pass legislation, manage the economy, and maintain public support, Democrats can bide their time, regroup, and prepare for the right moment to strike. This strategy requires discipline and patience, but it has the potential to yield significant dividends. By avoiding confrontations over issues like foreign aid or cultural wars, Democrats can focus on building a cohesive message and winning back the trust of American voters.

The first major test of this strategy will come in the upcoming budget debate, where Republicans are already divided over issues like the debt ceiling. Instead of rushing to oppose Trump’s agenda, Democrats should refrain from intervening and let the GOP’s internal chaos unfold. By doing so, they can position themselves as the party of competence and stability when the time is right to step in and save the day. This approach is far more effective than the resistance politics of the first Trump administration, which left Democrats mired in unwinnable battles and a muddled message.

Letting the Republicans Hang Themselves

If Democrats allow Republicans to pursue their agenda unchecked, the results will likely be disastrous. The GOP’s plans include massive tax cuts for the wealthy, deep cuts to Medicaid, and reductions in food stamp programs. These policies will disproportionately harm middle- and low-income Americans, further alienating voters who are already growing weary of Republican governance. By giving Republicans enough rope to hang themselves, Democrats can let the inevitable dysfunction of the Trump administration speak for itself.

As the Republican Party’s approval ratings continue to plummet, Democrats should wait for the perfect moment to launch a coordinated counterattack. This moment will likely arrive when the administration’s support has dropped into the 30s or 40s in public polling. At that point, Democrats can pivot to a clear, consistent message about protecting essential programs like Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security, while championing policies that benefit the middle class. By letting Republicans reveal their inability to govern, Democrats can position themselves as the only party capable of leading the country forward.

This strategy is far more effective than the failed resistance politics of the first Trump administration. Back then, Democrats wasted energy on outrage over social issues and the Russia investigation, which alienated swing voters and muddied their message. Their only salvation came from Trump’s poor governance and a concerted effort to recruit strong candidates in the 2018 midterms. This time around, Democrats have the opportunity to take a smarter, more strategic approach—one that capitalizes on Republican incompetence rather than getting bogged down in endless political warfare.

The Virginia Governor’s Race: A Turning Point

The first major opportunity for Democrats to go on the offensive will come in November 2025, with the Virginia governor’s race. This election is shaping up to be a bellwether for the direction of the country, and Democrats have a strong chance of securing a resounding victory. Virginia is home to approximately 144,000 federal civilian employees, who have been directly targeted by Trump’s efforts to dismantle the federal workforce. These workers are a key constituency for Democrats, and their support will be crucial in the upcoming election.

The Trump administration’s assault on the federal workforce is particularly tone-deaf, given that these employees represent just 3% of the federal budget. By firing or demoting thousands of dedicated public servants, Trump is not only undermining the effectiveness of the government but also alienating a large and influential voting bloc. Virginia, with its high concentration of federal employees, is ground zero for this fight, and Democrats are well-positioned to capitalize on the backlash.

The Virginia governor’s race is more than just a local election; it’s a chance for Democrats to regain their footing and start building momentum for future contests. By focusing on issues like economic stability, workers’ rights, and competent governance, Democrats can deliver a decisive blow to the Republican Party and set the stage for a broader comeback. This race will be the first opportunity for Democrats to go on the offensive after their strategic retreat, and it could mark the beginning of a long-awaited turning tide in American politics.

The Art of the Strategic Retreat: Lessons from History

The concept of a strategic retreat is not new; it has been employed successfully in politics, warfare, and even sports. One of the most famous examples of this strategy is Muhammad Ali’s “rope-a-dope” technique during his legendary fight against George Foreman in 1974. By leaning back against the ropes and letting Foreman tire himself out with relentless punches, Ali conserved his energy and waited for the perfect moment to strike. In the eighth round, he delivered a devastating knockout blow that secured his victory.

For Democrats, the stakes are just as high, but the strategy is the same. By retreating from the daily battles of political combat and letting Republicans exhaust themselves with their own dysfunction, Democrats can conserve their energy and prepare for a decisive counterattack. This approach requires patience, discipline, and a willingness to think long-term, but it has the potential to yield far greater rewards than endless resistance.

As Democrats look to the future, they would do well to remember that sometimes the most powerful move is to step back and let the opposition implode. By mastering the art of the strategic retreat, Democrats can position themselves as the competent, stable alternative to Republican chaos and set the stage for a triumphant return to power.

A Call to Action: Let’s Rope-a-Dope, Dems

The time has come for Democrats to embrace a bold new strategy—one that prioritizes long-term success over short-term victories. By adopting a strategic retreat, Democrats can let Republicans take full ownership of their failures while building a united front for the challenges ahead. This approach is not about surrendering or disengaging from the political process; it’s about being smarter, more disciplined, and more patient.

As the Trump administration continues to stumble from one crisis to the next, public support will inevitably erode. Polls already show the president’s approval rating sinking, and this trend is likely to accelerate in the coming months. When the time is right, Democrats must be ready to step in and offer a clear, compelling vision for the future—one that prioritizes the needs of the American people over partisan gridlock and political gamesmanship.

In the words of James Carville, a veteran Democratic strategist, it’s time for Democrats to channel their inner Muhammad Ali. By mastering the art of the strategic retreat, they can set the stage for a knockout blow that will be remembered for years to come. It’s Round 1, and the Democrats are ready to rope-a-dope their way back to power.

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